Remaining 36 games, 23 goals win. This is the number left until LG coach Yeom Gyeong-yeop’s ’88 win plan’. The plan seemed smooth, but now things are a little different 메이저놀이터.
The LG Twins faced a hurdle ahead of the last three games in August. At one time, an overwhelming lead was expected, pushing the second place by 8.0 games, but it was caught in just three days with a sweeping defeat in three consecutive matches. The gap with second place kt wiz decreased from 7.5 games to 4.5 games. Coach Yeom Kyung-yeop said that he would focus on whether LG could build the number of wins he was aiming for rather than the result of a match against a specific team, but the unexpected 3-game losing streak made this plan even more difficult.
Head coach Yeom Kyung-yeop said ahead of the game against Lotte in Jamsil on the 24th, “We need to reduce the number of games we are disappointed in. If we win 88, we think there is a high probability of winning first place. The remaining 6 games with kt are also important, but the most important thing is whether we can achieve our goal. That way, we can feel the pressure. It will be reduced. We have to go together as one of the remaining 40 games. A 50% win rate plus 4 wins (24 wins) is 88 wins. We can do it.”
At this point, the goal for the remaining season is 24 wins and 16 losses in 40 games (0.600 win rate). On the 24th, against Lotte, they won 3-1.
LG had a win rate of 0.631 with 65 wins, 2 draws and 38 losses by the 24th. At the time, it was 7.5 games away from the second place kt Wiz (59 wins, 2 draws, 47 losses, win rate 0.557). Although kt’s momentum is scary, it is impossible to ignore the gap that has already occurred. According to the baseball myth, ‘It takes a month to catch up with the 3rd game’, LG’s first place in the regular season seemed certain.
The NC Dinos and Changwon three-game series created the current situation (?). In the game on the 25th, LG lost 1-14 to NC with Eric Peddy in the lead. Starter Choi Won-tae allowed 11 runs (9 earned runs) with 15 hits in 4 innings. 11 runs without a home run. Jung Woo-young, Park Myeong-geun, Kim Jin-seong, and Choi Dong-hwan blocked the remaining four innings.
In the game on the 26th, Ko Woo-seok, who finished the match, was shaken after being on base after being hit by the referee, and lost 5-7. Since it was a game that was ahead until the start of the ninth inning, Yoo Young-chan, Baek Seung-hyun, Ham Deok-joo, Kim Jin-seong, and Pil Seung-jo all appeared, but in the end, only the bullpen was consumed without gaining anything. On the 27th, the bullpen had to block 9 innings as starter Lim Chan-gyu was ejected for a ‘headshot’ in the 1st inning. In the process, Baek Seung-hyun and Yoo Young-chan had a two-day fight, and Kim Jin-seong had a three-day fight.
In the meantime, kt swept three consecutive away matches against the Lotte Giants and gained momentum. In the second half, with an amazing record of 25 wins, 6 losses, and an odds rate of 0.806, SSG Landers was brought down to third place, and now even LG has become a threat.
Coach Yeom Kyung-yeop laughed before the game on the 18th, saying, “Now kt is more stable than us” and “I thought it would not be in the lower ranks, but it is coming up so well.” Still, he had a face that said he could afford it. Of course, the difference is still not small. Still, it can be nerve-wracking that the gap quickly narrowed while kt’s momentum continued.
LG needs 23 wins to achieve 88 wins in the remaining 36 games. Converted to win rate, it is 0.639, which is higher than the current win rate of 0.613. It is a figure that can be achieved only by exerting more effort than the one that has been run so far. Of course, you don’t have to win 88 games to rank first in the regular season. Even if LG only wins 85, kt has to win 24-9 in the remaining 33 games to change the ranking.
If 88 wins are achieved as planned without a draw, LG can finish the regular season with 88 wins, 2 draws and 54 losses with an odds ratio of 0.620. After the KBO League became a 10-team system, the only case in which a team that won 88 wins failed to rank first in the regular season was SK Wyverns (SSG) in 2019. The win rate was exactly the same as 1st place Doosan with 88 wins, 1 draw and 55 losses, but it was pushed out of the opponent’s record and suddenly became 2nd place. SK couldn’t even climb the Korean series, probably because of the sense of loss at this time. This is a page from director Yeom Kyung-yeop’s ‘Dark History’.
Coincidentally, LG and kt will play a fateful three-game series in Suwon a week later. Until then, depending on the results of the 6 matches, the atmosphere of the 3 consecutive matches may change. So far, the two teams have won 5 each in 10 matches.